I’m not sure the White House has any say in a private companies strike AFAIK. They can ask, but it’s not like FAA or RxR strike where the feds can block it. Also AFAIK, the White House hasn’t signaled it wants to step in. Of course no administration wants to see a UPS strike.
I can tall you that as a business, I am stocking and plaining ahead, as I have been since the beginning of 2020, in case a strike does happen. I hope, as I think we all do, that it does not happen.
The President can intervene at any time to stop or prevent a UPS strike under the Railway Labor Act (because UPS does use rail for a portion of their freight) and the Taft-Hartley Act, if he determines it to be in the best interest of the nation or a national emergency. Neither an actual strike nor the length of the strike has any bearing on his authority to do so.
One of the biggest issues is that their is currently no Labor Secretary and there is likely not to be one for the foreseeable future, due to partisan, political bickering. With this void, The Administration has few options but to either ignore the situation or stop the strike.
Despite the socialist bent of the Teamsters public statements, the record profits of 2022 are not relevant, furthermore, if a Labor Secretary were confirmed and in place mediation would not be able to consider that factor, since those would be a one-off, or windfall.
Also consider that UPS has committed to $400M in additional costs to purchase new fleet equipped with A/C which will have additional ongoing costs in maintenance and fuel. Plus, the increase in full time wages and benefits already agreed to. There isn’t much left in the UPS check book, to bargain with.
A strike on any carrier will have ripple effects on ALL carriers as loads are distributed towards others, and will effect all suppliers in one way or another no matter how they ship.
It is quite conceivable that both FEDEX and USPS have excess capacity.
FEDEX has deliberately been shrinking to meet the huge decrease in their volume.
Too soon to tell what the effects of the USPS Ground Advantage effort will be, but they have plenty of sorting capacity, thanks to equipment redeployment last year. I have no clue how full their trucks are.
But I do think that we are at a season where there is some excess capacity at most carriers.
So let me get something straight… One day, my Amazon Prime shipment is going to be delivered out of the back of Vinny Boombot’s disgusting, human feces covered plumbing van?
What could possibly go wrong? I get annoyed when some stranger shows up in a Nissan Sentra, with no Amazon vest on, carrying my stuff to my door.